00:05 GMT NY Mets @ Toronto
It looks easy to take the NY Mets and Glavine here. New York has won eight consecutive road games and enters this contest with their #2 starter on the mound. Glavine has jumped out to a 10-2 record with an impressive 3.48 ERA. To add fuel to the fire, Toronto counters with listed pitcher Casey Jannsen! who was absolutely destroyed in his last two starts (12 earned runs and 19 hits in 6.1 innings. So my question is, if the Mets look such an "automatic play", why then is Toronto actually favoured (overnight) at a couple of offshore sports books?
Here's why. The Blue Jays have smashed left-handed pitchers all season long on route to a .331 batting average. In addition, Toronto enters this contest with serious momentum off a three-game sweep at Atlanta of all places.
Sure, New York pitcher Glavine is having an exceptional year. But he has struggled at the Rogers Center. In two starts north of the border, Glavine is winless with a 7.71 ERA. His last three appearances haven't been that great either. Against Baltimore, Philadelphia and the LA Dodgers, Glavine owns a 2-0 record but has been tagged for 23 hits (7 homers) and 14 earned runs in only 15.2 innings of work. That equates to a lofty 8.05 ERA and a 1.852 WHIP.
Toronto's Janssen has been solid at home sur! rendering only 12 earned runs and 25 hits in 26.2 innings of ! work. The Blue Jays are 32-16 with the lights on and they're playing excellent baseball right now.
With the public all over the Mets forcing them into favs for this game, the value is clearly with Toronto.