1 point San Antonio/Sacramento (Under 188.5) @ 1.91 Betcom

03:05 GMT San Antonio @ Sacramento

The first two games of this series easily went OVER the total and at stages during those games the pace resembled a track meet. Tonight however, I anticipate a much slower pace to the game. The Kings have learn't that they can't beat the Spurs by gunning and running and with the return to the line-up tonight of Ron Artest, I expect Sacramento to play solid defense. Also, I feel San Antonio won't play with as much urgency as they hold a 2-0 series lead. The three regular season games between these two teams all played 'Under' the total with a combined average of 184 ppg. More of the same!

Home teams are 12-3 UNDER in the post-season coming off back-to-back road losses and 'overs'.