Despite Australia showing a defensive, low-scoring style of play, they tend to
have productive matches against the USA.
In 2025 the score was 2-1, and back in 2010 it was 3-1.
The USA are the hosts, and they have no choice but to push forward. Australia
have already exceeded expectations by beating Turkey. I don't think they
expected that result themselves. Everyone understands that the crowd and
officiating pressure will favor the hosts. As the saying goes, against the home
team, if one red card isn't enough, they'll find a reason for two.
That's why I think Australia may eventually accept the idea that they should
save their energy for Paraguay. To be honest, with 3 points they have already
put themselves in a strong playoff position. A draw against Paraguay later would
suit them just fine. This is a host nation's match, and the show must go on.
1X & Over 1.5 Goals — 1.49
Pulisic + Balogun to score over 0.5 goals
Australia Over 1.5 Shots on Target — 1.40
Saves: Australia made 8 saves against Turkey. A save is when the goalkeeper
stops a shot. Therefore, Over 4.5 total saves in the match at 1.65 looks
possible, or Australia Over 2.5 saves.
USA Over 9.5 Fouls. They will attack aggressively and lose possession. Australia
will shield the ball well, play with one man up front, and draw fouls.
USA Over 1.5 Offsides at 1.63 is a very achievable line.
Scotland – Morocco 0-1 / 1-1
These are the types of matches I don't like. It's similar to Switzerland vs
Bosnia. Everything looks locked up, even heading toward a 0-0 draw, and then one
red card changes everything and one team completely falls apart.
I wouldn't be surprised by a 0-0 here either. Scotland only need one point
before facing Brazil, while Morocco still have Haiti ahead of them, where
they're likely expecting three points. However, the crowd will probably support
Morocco because, despite their defensive style, many people liked their
performance against Brazil. Scotland, meanwhile, struggled against a clear
underdog and barely managed a 1-0 win.
So once again, I'll follow the consensus that this will be a low-scoring game.
1X & Under 3.5 Goals — 1.49
Although every time I bet the under, they somehow score six goals :)
The match should be physical, but I'm not fully convinced about yellow cards.
Morocco tend to dribble more, so if you're looking at cards, Scotland Over 1.5
Cards at 1.65 looks decent. They even managed to pick up three cards against
Haiti.
Morocco Over 1.5 Offsides is also very realistic. They often play long balls
forward, while Scotland play a high defensive line.
Morocco Over 12 Shots. They outshot Brazil and average more than 12 shots per
match. Scotland even lost the shot count to Haiti by six shots and allowed 15
attempts on goal. There are usually plenty of blocked shots as well.
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Brazil – Haiti 3-0
Another match similar to Spain or Portugal, where everyone thinks the result is
already known. But what should we actually bet here?
Brazil Over 2.5 Goals? Sure, but remember what happened with Portugal and Spain.
Take Haiti +3.5 Handicap? Sure, but then remember Tunisia, Paraguay, and
Curaçao.
Haiti are actually a solid team, but if you compare every position on the field,
Brazil have players worth three to five times more than Haiti's. So how do you
really analyze that?
Will Brazil even be motivated to run hard? Maybe they'll start Neymar and we'll
spend 90 minutes watching fancy tricks without much end product.
I think it's time for Raphinha to score — odds are close to 2.00.
Their last meeting ended 7-1, but Haiti were not the same team they are today.
So I can't say Brazil will have an easy time, even if they remain heavy
favorites.
Turkey – Paraguay 2-1
Turkey received a fantastic send-off before the tournament. There were convoys
of cars with flags, huge crowds, and tremendous support. Then they lost 0-2 to
Australia.
If they lose to Paraguay as well, maybe it's better not to return home just yet.
1X & Over 1.5 Goals
Turkey Over 4.5 Corners — 1.62
Paraguay always bring a physical and aggressive style, so Over 3 Yellow Cards at
1.47 looks attractive.
Penalty or Red Card — Yes at 2.10. Why not? This is a must-win match for both
teams, and emotions will be high. Turkey will likely dominate possession with
around 70% of the ball and pin Paraguay deep inside their own penalty area. A
VAR handball decision or a foul could easily lead to a penalty. And toward the
end of the match, someone could easily receive a red card for dissent or rough
play.
Paraguay Over 1.5 Yellow Cards — 1.53
Turkey Over 12.5 Shots. They managed 30 shots against Australia and still failed
to score.